Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Alaves
37.9%
Draw
29.8%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Alaves
vs
0.71
Getafe
Markets
BTTS27.0%
Over 0.576.5%
Over 1.543.1%
Over 2.518.1%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.5%
1-0
17.2%
0-1
16.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-0
1.6%
0-3
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).