Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Espanol
24.9%
Draw
16.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Espanol
vs
0.76
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).