Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Bradford
21.1%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Bradford
vs
1.15
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).