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07 Mar 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.7%
Dundee
26.4%
Draw
53.0%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Dundee

vs
1.59

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).