Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Hull
28.7%
Draw
30.3%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Hull
vs
1.13
Stoke
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).