Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.3%
Morton
22.8%
Draw
64.9%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Morton
vs
2.07
Hearts
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).