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AHT: 12CSV

29 Jan 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.2%
Bielefeld
22.8%
Draw
14.1%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Bielefeld

vs
0.84

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).