Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Korona Kielce
24.9%
Draw
33.5%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Korona Kielce
vs
1.53
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).