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21 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.3%
Dorking
24.9%
Draw
47.8%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Dorking

vs
1.79

Torquay

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).