Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Havant & Waterlooville
25.9%
Draw
52.1%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Havant & Waterlooville
vs
1.46
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).