Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Man United
30.7%
Draw
22.2%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Man United
vs
0.90
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).