Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Cittadella
35.3%
Draw
37.9%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Cittadella
vs
1.00
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
0-1
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).