Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Millwall
26.6%
Draw
54.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Millwall
vs
1.61
Leeds
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).