Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Liverpool
27.0%
Draw
19.6%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Liverpool
vs
0.97
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).