Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Mainz
29.8%
Draw
24.1%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Mainz
vs
0.90
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).