Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.8%
Sp Lisbon
10.9%
Draw
4.4%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.46
Aves
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.5%
3-0
14.0%
1-0
11.7%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
5-0
5.1%
1-1
5.0%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).