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22 Dec 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Göztepe
33.7%
Draw
22.3%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Göztepe

vs
0.94

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).