Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Elche
25.8%
Draw
16.3%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Elche
vs
0.71
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).