Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Lecce
26.5%
Draw
17.1%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Lecce
vs
0.82
Reggina
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).