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DHT: 11CSV

26 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Elche

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Granada
29.7%
Draw
36.7%
Elche

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Granada

vs
1.08

Elche

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).