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AHT: 00CSV

27 Sept 2025 · 16:15

Padova

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.7%
Monza
22.0%
Draw
10.3%
Padova

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Monza

vs
0.64

Padova

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).