Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Avellino
31.0%
Draw
44.6%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Avellino
vs
1.30
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).