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13 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Pisa
19.0%
Draw
12.0%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Pisa

vs
0.92

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).