Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Ascoli
33.0%
Draw
23.9%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Ascoli
vs
0.80
Benevento
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).