Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Plymouth
28.3%
Draw
33.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Plymouth
vs
1.04
Crewe
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).