Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad
28.9%
Draw
7.6%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.33
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS22.1%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.9%
0-0
18.7%
2-0
17.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
0-2
1.0%
2-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).