Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.0%
Draw
29.2%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.93
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).