Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Werder Bremen
19.0%
Draw
64.9%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Werder Bremen
vs
2.47
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
4.0%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).