Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.9%
Lens
11.8%
Draw
5.3%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Lens
vs
0.49
Clermont
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
3-0
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
4-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).