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11 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.7%
Leyton Orient
20.2%
Draw
23.1%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Leyton Orient

vs
1.16

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).