Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Arouca
17.4%
Draw
15.0%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Arouca
vs
1.01
AVS
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).