Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Lens
20.4%
Draw
16.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Lens
vs
0.85
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).