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15 Oct 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Buyuksehyr
28.3%
Draw
38.9%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Buyuksehyr

vs
1.70

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS67.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).