Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
QPR
27.2%
Draw
24.2%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
QPR
vs
1.05
Luton
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).