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28 Aug 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
Vicenza
27.6%
Draw
47.7%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Vicenza

vs
1.57

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).