Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Bolton
18.6%
Draw
11.8%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Bolton
vs
0.63
Accrington
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).