Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
26.8%
Draw
16.4%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.77
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).