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03 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.1%
Troyes
24.5%
Draw
28.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Troyes

vs
1.04

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).