Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Crotone
28.9%
Draw
29.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Crotone
vs
1.14
Spezia
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).