Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Carlisle
21.8%
Draw
50.8%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Carlisle
vs
1.74
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).