Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Alverca
26.4%
Draw
47.7%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Alverca
vs
1.37
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).