Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Morecambe
22.2%
Draw
55.8%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Morecambe
vs
1.79
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).