Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Real Madrid
16.3%
Draw
10.8%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Real Madrid
vs
0.88
Betis
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).