Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Leganes
28.5%
Draw
36.3%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Leganes
vs
1.21
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).