Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Paderborn
29.0%
Draw
47.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Paderborn
vs
1.40
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).