Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Gillingham
22.6%
Draw
57.9%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Gillingham
vs
1.75
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).