Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Farense
27.7%
Draw
20.6%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Farense
vs
0.70
Boavista
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).