Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Le Havre
29.6%
Draw
43.7%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Le Havre
vs
1.16
Lille
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).