Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Le Havre
25.4%
Draw
53.8%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Le Havre
vs
1.46
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).