Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Birmingham
29.7%
Draw
21.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Birmingham
vs
0.63
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
0-0
16.1%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).